When- Saturday April 1, 7:49 PM CBS
Where- NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Miami (FL)- (ACC)
Record- (29-7)
Rating- 43.9
Eye Test Analytics Ranking- 18
Strength Of Schedule- 43
UConn - (Big East)
Record- (29-8)
Rating- 45.79
Eye Test Analytics Ranking- 13
Strength of Schedule- 38
Why Miami will win- UConn enters Saturday night's matchup ranked 227th in turnovers per possession. The past 5 National Champions have had an average national ranking of 44. The Hurricanes are certainly capable of forcing opponents to turn the ball over ranking 84th in steals per game at 7.3 including 9 in their Elite 8 win over Texas. The Huskies are without question the consensus pick to cut the nets down Monday night. Miami has thrived in the underdog role knocking off both the 1 and 2 seeds in the Midwest Region on their road to Houston.
Why UConn will win- HC Dan Hurley has UConn playing its' best basketball of the year winning their 4 NCAA Tournament games by an average of 22.5 points per game. The Huskies defense has been superb holding Gonzaga's high-powered offense to a season low 54 points on 33.3% shooting. The offense has been equally impressive shooting just under 50% while averaging 82 points per game in the tournament. It will face a Miami defense that ranks outside the top 220 in both opponent FG% and points allowed per game.
Key to the Game- Turnover Margin. This is one of the few areas where the edge goes to Miami. For the Hurricanes to have a chance to pull the upset they must win the turnover battle by a wide margin to keep UConn's potent offensive attack in check.
Eye Test Analytics Predicted Outcome- UConn by 1.89 points
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